Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.000132 0.000148 0.000164 0.000183 0.000204 0.000226 0.000253
2025-09-07 0.000110 0.000130 0.000153 0.000182 0.000215 0.000254 0.000301
2025-09-14 0.000093 0.000116 0.000144 0.000179 0.000224 0.000277 0.000347
2025-09-21 0.000082 0.000107 0.000139 0.000181 0.000237 0.000308 0.000404
2025-09-28 0.000073 0.000099 0.000134 0.000182 0.000248 0.000335 0.000459
2025-10-05 0.000065 0.000092 0.000128 0.000181 0.000256 0.000359 0.000511
2025-10-12 0.000060 0.000087 0.000126 0.000185 0.000271 0.000392 0.000579
2025-10-19 0.000054 0.000082 0.000122 0.000185 0.000280 0.000419 0.000639
2025-10-26 0.000050 0.000077 0.000119 0.000185 0.000288 0.000444 0.000699
2025-11-02 0.000045 0.000073 0.000114 0.000183 0.000293 0.000465 0.000753
2025-11-09 0.000042 0.000069 0.000112 0.000184 0.000304 0.000494 0.000822
2025-11-16 0.000039 0.000065 0.000108 0.000182 0.000307 0.000511 0.000874
2025-11-23 0.000036 0.000062 0.000104 0.000181 0.000313 0.000535 0.000940
2025-11-30 0.000033 0.000059 0.000102 0.000181 0.000321 0.000563 0.001014
2025-12-07 0.000030 0.000055 0.000098 0.000179 0.000326 0.000585 0.001081
2025-12-14 0.000029 0.000054 0.000098 0.000181 0.000338 0.000622 0.001177
2025-12-21 0.000027 0.000052 0.000096 0.000182 0.000348 0.000654 0.001268
2025-12-28 0.000025 0.000049 0.000093 0.000181 0.000354 0.000679 0.001346
2026-01-04 0.000024 0.000048 0.000093 0.000185 0.000369 0.000724 0.001468
2026-01-11 0.000023 0.000046 0.000092 0.000186 0.000377 0.000755 0.001565
2026-01-18 0.000022 0.000045 0.000090 0.000186 0.000385 0.000786 0.001663
2026-01-25 0.000020 0.000043 0.000087 0.000184 0.000389 0.000809 0.001747
2026-02-01 0.000019 0.000041 0.000086 0.000185 0.000399 0.000846 0.001864